The volatility in
the US100 and S&P 500 indexes CFD is seldom limited to the equity market
alone. Large movements in US indexes frequently impact the forex market, gold
prices, and overall market sentiment. This may be useful information for CFD
traders to consider when trading more than one instrument.
The US100 index may be influenced by attitudes to
technology and growth stocks, while the S&P 500 provides a bigger picture
of the US equities market. In case of substantial fluctuations of these CFD
indices, traders tend to reevaluate their risks.
The
role of VIX
Also referred to as
the market’s “fear gauge,” the VIX index gauges the level of anticipated
volatility in the S&P 500.
An increase in VIX
values is commonly an indicator of growing market uncertainty, which would
typically fuel the demand for safe-haven assets like the US dollar, Japanese
yen, or gold. On the other hand, a decrease in VIX values would normally point
to growing investor confidence.
Why
forex traders watch US indices
It is common for
index volatility to extend to the foreign exchange market as well; however, the
effect will usually depend on the cause of the volatility. In the case of
stocks falling due to investor risk aversion, the US dollar could rally as
capital moves to liquidity, leading to potential problems in the EUR/USD and
GBP/USD currency pairs CFD.
Alternatively, if
the stocks fall because of expectations of slower economic growth in the US or
an easy policy from the Federal Reserve, the dollar could weaken instead. When
dealing with high volatility conditions, it is also necessary to pay attention
to the Japanese yen as investors tend to move towards the safe haven when
selling risky assets CFD.
Gold
and changing risk sentiment
While gold usually
performs well during times of increased uncertainty, its correlation with
equity markets is anything but clear cut.
Aside from
fluctuations in the stock markets, gold is affected by the US dollar, interest
rates, inflation expectations, and central bank policies. That is why most
investors use both technical and macroeconomic analysis together rather than
depending solely on correlation.
Managing
volatility
Opportunities exist
where volatility does too, but there is added risk involved with execution. In
times leading up to important releases like inflation figures, FED meetings,
quarterly earnings, or other geopolitical risks, markets may have increased spreads,
volatility, and false breakouts.
Most professional
traders rely on proper execution by ensuring proper position sizing, stop-loss
placement, and verification of setups before trading, while remaining
diversified away from highly correlated positions.
Looking
beyond a single market
Professional
traders do not usually focus on only one CFD asset class. Observing US100 and
S&P 500 CFDs in connection with the VIX index, the dollar and yen, as well
as gold, may give a wider picture of the state of the market and may allow
finding certain opportunities which might be overlooked on a single chart.
Platforms such as JustMarkets which offer an opportunity to
trade CFD in several asset classes make this task more accessible. It is
possible to observe and trade CFD contracts of stock indices, currency pairs,
commodities, stocks, and cryptos in one platform.
Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Trading financial instruments
involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you
understand the risks involved and trade responsibly.
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