Tuesday August 27, 2019-Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga's party, ODM is set to outshine Deputy President William Ruto's Jubilee party.

This is according to renowned political analyst, Herman Manyora, who shed light on the reasons why ODM will take the lead in Kibra's by-election. This comes after Jubilee party announced its intention to join the race.

Manyora outlined that ODM had an advantage over other parties due to its tight grip over the Kibra Constituency.

He went ahead to explain that It's not just about numbers as ODM supporters are more political. 

"In addition, most people in Kibra are from Nyanza and another significant portion is from Western."

“If you went to Kibra you'd be forgiven for thinking that everyone is from the Luo community or is ODM. That is how we look at our politics, sad as it may be," he opined.

According to Manyora, If Raila opts to campaign in person for ODM candidate, that will be the end of the story. 

He confirmed that the former Prime Minister only needed to make one appearance during the campaign and ODM would be assured of a win.

"Of course, people will run on other parties' tickets and they will be from the Luo community or from Western. One could easily imagine that if they get a certain number of votes from their communities, they will stand a good chance of winning," disclosed Manyora.

"Personally, I don't see anybody but the ODM candidate standing a chance in Kibra. Unless there's a serious fallout in ODM during nominations. If this happens, it could injure ODM to the advantage of its rivals," advised Manyora.



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