SHOCK on UHURU/ RUTO’s supporters as voter data shows they are going home in 2017

The conspiracy of purported tyranny of numbers cannot be supported by facts. Numbers obtained from the voter registration information provided by IEBC on pages 7 - 9 of the ‘Submissions by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission to the Joint Parliamentary Select Committee on matters relating to the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission’ dated August 1, 2016, show that CORD will win. 

Total registered voters during the March 4, 2013 General Election were 14,388,781. The IEBC registered 181,018 voters after the March 4, 2013 General Election in the continuous voter registration (CVR) process. In 2013, Kirinyaga, Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri and Nyandarua counties had 2.4 million voters. 

Upper Eastern region of Meru, Embu and Tharaka Nithi Counties had about 0.9 million registered voters while Nakuru and Laikipia in Rift Valley had 0.88 million voters. Bomet, Kericho, Baringo, Nandi, Elgeyo Marakwet and Uasin Gishu where Jubilee won had 1.6 million registered voters. From the above two strongholds, Jubilee had roughly 5.8 million votes. 

Busia, Bungoma, Kakamega and Vihiga Counties had 1.53 million registered voters. Kisumu, Siaya, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii and Nyamira had 2.1 million voters. Makueni, Machakos and Kitui had 1.12 million voters. Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Taita Taveta, Lamu and Tana River counties had 1.15 million registered voters. 

CORD therefore had roughly 5.9 million votes from its stronghold regions while Jubilee had roughly 5.8 million votes. Raila Odinga’s performance in counties within Rift Valley, Upper Eastern, North Eastern and Nairobi is also important to note. 

Odinga also garnered 105,600 votes from the cosmopolitan Nakuru County hence there was no absolute voting for one particular candidate even in Jubilee strongholds.

Most recent data projecting the scenario in 2017 from....

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