MUTAHI NGUNYI says UHURU KENYATTA is 4th President and how he warned RAILA ODINGA


Thursday March 7, 2013 - Political scientist Mutahi Ngunyi has said Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta will still be the fourth President, whether the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) resort to manual or electronic tallying.

In his twitter account on Thursday, Mutahi who is renowned political analyst said going by Monday’s voting trends Uhuru Kenyatta has enough numbers to clinch the Presidency in round one.

Here are some of his tweets;

Mutahi Ngunyi #4% total votes counted on Monday, the percentage was 56:42. At 40%, it was 53:40. Now at 8% recounted votes, it is 56:41. What will change?

He also said that he has been urging CORD supremo Raila Odinga not to trust opinion polls but he continued trusting them.

Mutahi Ngunyi #Raila Odinga committed political suicide by trusting opinion polls. May be now he can try in 2017! Uhuru Kenyatta  has won the election


The Kenyan DAILY POST

71 comments for MUTAHI NGUNYI says UHURU KENYATTA is 4th President and how he warned RAILA ODINGA

  1. Mutahi's tyranny of numbers statement was a cynical attempt to galvanize Uhuru and Ruto's supporters along tribal lines, and formed a step in the Mutahi-Uhuruto-IEBC-Media strategy. He will shamelessly now state they came true. Yet, he only gave Raila & Kalonzo 2.7 Million votes - How did their votes double? How did CORD take all cities and major towns apart from Nakuru? How did it come to be, that will all those numbers, Uhuru surpassed the mark by only 8000 votes, which irregularities in Ndhiwa and Laikipia (14,000 votes) alone can reverse?

  2. Coglac Mr. Ngunyi for your wise tallying ,you well read the writings on the wall. Advice Cord, Numbers never
    lie and that they should wait for their tomorrow. As Kenyans have spoken and they are the employers.

  3. Does it mean thaw kenyans must stop voting?because if its the tyranny of numbers ,does it make sense for us to line up and vote?

  4. is raila still eligible to run for presidency in 2017

  5. even in a rerun we will wait to bury cord and particularly raila for good!

  6. I wonder how many times will we associate president and deputy president elect with tribal backing....If this is true....What about the KAMBAS AND LUOS....Did they not also vote along those lines...

  7. If at all UK had numbers he would have not gone for the irregularities

  8. Rao opinion polls did you in. We promise you 2017. Good luck.

  9. some kenyans are so cynical. just because you lost, the winners are tribalists? and the losers are patriots. we saw kambas voting cord just because of kalonzo was in it, the luos voted cord just because raila was in it, and they are patriots? c'mon give us a break. for heaven's sake we do not care any more whether we referred as tribalists or not. the most important thing is peace in kenya. period. ........history repeating itself?

  10. his is the political prophet that wi have for now.

  11. Why do Kikuyus hate other people especially Luos and yet their gals are chasing Luos like Samosas why eat what you hate. What exactly did Raila do to kikuyus? even if he employ and sorround himself with them they still reject him. Iam sure even Bishop lady did not vote our man. Wa kikuyu yu are man eaters for sure!!!!!

  12. Since 2007 Aug-october when you predicted the race will be 50-50.I do take your statement with great concern.I conquered with your opinion this time and some of my freind believe i am political analyst just because of relaying your information as mine.I miss your TV shows.When will you be back?

  13. Cord was voted in by Kambas for Kalonzo and Luos for Raila and they are not tribalists but angels!! Jubilee was voted in by Kalenjins and Kiuks and therefore tribalist!! c'mon guys use your brains b4 commenting!!! everybody acted tribal which is not healthy for Kenyans. Ukishindwa embrace peacefully but dont hit back!!waste ua time in courts but will never win coz God has spoken.
    All of you morons commenting on tribal line should own up and comment to your mothers sisters bros uncles only but not here!!!!!

  14. Warming up for new elections or re-run. We dont eat democracy and reforms , we eat development and economic growth. Who cares about a skul with gud discipline but poor performance. Everyone voted according to their tribe or what their "Kings" told them too. If 1kalenjin=100kisiis that makes it 101 kenyans. So if jubilee won from 2 tribes which are equivalent to 40 tribes then majority have spoken.

  15. people should strive to stand by the truth. UK won the elections on a clean sheet and Raila failed markedly. I was a Raila Supporter, but if elections are called again I will happily vote for Uhuru squarely! I have finally proved that Raila is power hungry and doesn't Love this country. My God! what a hypocrate!

  16. it is not about Luos-please dont get it wrong-is a stop against Raila! please bring Tuju and you will see all Kenyans voting for.

  17. Many shouted at him, wrote and wished even his demise..bt b4 the ground was soft his sentiments and prophesy was fullfilled..lets learn to open our brains b4 our mouths..


  18. NO ONE BUT RAILAA ODINGA IS TO BLAME FOR LOSING THE ELECTION . ON THE DAY HE CHOOSE Musalia Mudavadi OVER William Ruto His Fate Was Sealed ! If he had named Ruto as his Running mate he would be in power today . Like MUTAHI NGUNYI says Numbers don't Lie !

    Watch the below like and u'll understand ;

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUP_tKDXz2k

  19. i think this has always been the trend.tribal number superiority that is the demon we will always use in elections instead of issues. we also know that the very demon always comes only when they need something from you and later use it to destroy you.we also know we also know it's the characteristic similar to that of an ape which when you give a banana it as though it owned it before you even gave it.only time will reveal it shall be isolated for good.

  20. Does Uhuru or Raila bring food to your tables? Nyinyi bure kabisa.

  21. I too agree that it's nothing to do with Kikuyus hating the Luos. I have so many Luo buddies. Bring in Mr. Tuju and you will see how we will vote for him with a block. Tuju is a respected man amongst all tribes.

  22. Think of morrow if you are going the ethnical way next, their will be no luo or kalenjine where will kiuks turn to. you are used getting it in a silver plater.

  23. is not about power, is about what is right.you can vote for whoever.i really don't care. did you know what happened with electronic system way of transmitting pestilential results.when things are done right why should anyone complain? please i need to be convinced not lame excuses.

  24. if this is how we are going to view our country, along tribal lines. instead of having the ethnic feelings over others,we must start working towards dividing this country into small tribal countries so that all tribes may be in charge of their own without undermining others. now i understand mrc.

  25. if this is how we are going to view our country, along tribal lines. instead of having the ethnic feelings over others,we must start working towards dividing this country into small tribal countries so that all tribes may be in charge of their own without undermining others. now i understand mrc.

  26. Mutahi advised CORD to ensure that they prevent Jubilee from winning in ROUND ONE; and instead asked for Mutahi to be investigated for hate speech and yet he had only proposed an hypothesis! Jubilee won, and won fairly. When they were told the electronic devices failed on Monday during voting, they did not ask for voting to stop. But when they noticed they were losing during tallying they said it should be stopped! They should humbly concede defeat!

  27. not in a million years will anyone vote TUJU IN this country why didn't you vote MUSALIA OR OLE KIYAPI? the answer is simple these are not kikuyus, not even Raila is the problem here.

  28. it seems no one has the right to ask questions on the failure of IEBC because jubilee won. am still asking IEBC PLEASE TELL US THE TRUTH.

  29. LEADERS ARE ANOINTED BY GOD AND GOD IS NOT A TRIBALIST HENCE UHURU'S PRESIDENCY COMES FROM GOD-RUTO'S VICE PRESIDENCY COMES FROM GOD-AS JOB 42 SAYS'THE PURPOSES OF GOD CAN NOT BE THWARTED BY ANYBODY OR ANYTHING'

    WE MAY CRY, SCREAM, GET ANGRY, REJOICE ETC BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY, GOD'S WILL MUST BE ACCOMPLISHED.

    LETS EMBRACE ONE ANOTHER IRRESPECTIVE OF OUR TRIBES GOD IS LOVE SO LOVE ONE ANOTHER-LOVE COVERS A MULTITUDE OF SINS-PRAISE BE TO JESUS THE LAMB OF GOD!

  30. Elections are over let's build a Kenya for our children's future. God bless Kenya

  31. why are Kikuyus and kalenjins being accused of voting along tribal lines simply because The CORD lost. What if they had won. From the results as they were being read out, one could actually see where tribalism was practised. Raila got thousands of votes from Central, Meru and many other parts of the country, but look at the Nyanza region, UK gt even one vote in some regions. Who is being tribal here. I agree, it's not about Luos but RAO. Bring Tuju in the next elections and you will be shocked by the support he will get from all over the country. By the way, what faith does RAO attest to: Christian, Hindu, Islam, .......??????

  32. One day people like Ngunyi who thinks that Kenya belongs to some people from some regions and big tribes who vote along ethnic line will come to an end. We can not have a president for a certain region or tribe. This problem will be solved through all means including most effective one which is the constitution.

  33. I am so surprised the brain we have here,people writing very well thought out arguments but still hiding like me as anonymous.There are other variables that resonates with Kikuyus and Kalenjins.They have both tasted power at one..oops...three times in our history.But Raila in this elections went dumb.Thinking Kenyans would not vote for another Kikuyu,his only tactic.Forgeting the role capitalism play in Power games.Infact the CORD financiers were not Luos..the Luos were just spectators.How do you explain Henry Kosgey's son coming in under URP..give me a break(I am sure Henry was financing his campaign)they come from the same homestead and the father was the first to concede defeat and congratulate his son.Who is fooling who.The Numerical strength of the Kikuyus will frustrate you any time any place including the morgues and car-jacking.To settle this matter,I am for a total re-run.Lets stop sideshows...Mutahi Ngunyi is an intellect and his only problem is being blunt,we knew what would happen if the Kikuyus find an allay in the Kalenjins,a political massacre.Now the Kambas are saying that they were duped.The Coastal families were so brainwashed on land and the Kenyatta family land ownership as the potent poison.The head start the Kikuyus had in our historical past attest and contributes to their dominance in economics and academia.Lets not burn our grey matter on prejudices,dont tell me because KIDERO WON NAIROBI AS GOVERNOR HE HAS CLOUT.There is Senator Sonko ,WRep Shebesh(a.ka Wambui)and majority of Ward representatives and is it 14 MPs out of 17 and a President to boot.Its really hostile to run such a city.We have seen it in US congress and Senate.CORD could as well have lost the city.7 of the MPs are former City Councillors and the rest I leave it for your imaginations.To paraphrase Mutahi's dictum,Raila is a good tactcian but a very poor strategist.Period.

  34. My addition.....The pill gets bitter and bitter for Rao.The govt has overuled the Transition Authority and directed that its the Deputy President who'll occupy the former Pm's offices and not Nairobi Governor elect Evans Kidero.

  35. what matters is our country and voting for Uhuru is like pulling a trigger to your own head, so pls kikuyus just cut the crap, hiyo shimo mmetuchimbia tutaangamia si wote and u guys know it but u pretend not to. We didnt vote for Uhuru not coz he is kikuyu but coz he' s presidency will jeopardise the Kenyan economy and stability. Next tym wen you told to vote wisely, you should always think out of the box. We are all Kenyan's and a time has come when the nation is more important than a tribe. Lets wait for the judiciary to decide

  36. mutahi...thers is nothing political analysts know about politics in Kenya...you are in darkness like a mere normal Kenyan...shut up...and do something else...in fact change careers...try cooking!

  37. I have just read and witnessed how people are skewed along their ethnic lines. This country is not about Uhuru, Raila, Ruto or Kalonzo but about u. R we developing as a nation? R Roads being constructed, provision of Education, health and poverty alleviation. 4get polls now, lets move forward as 1 and embrace the leadership that God has provided us with.

  38. Whoever GOD BLESS no satan can curse.. Concede and set your soul free from the bondage of that what you worship..

  39. A tribalist is someone who rushes to comment on other peoples tribes after they are duly recognized by others. Change or else you will kill yourself on issues you cannot solve. Be abusive but also remember your time wil come.. will you handle it?

  40. you made rao your god,you may not believe in THE BIBLE but The holy Book Tells us in Jerem.17-Cursed is the man who puts his trust in another man and blessed is the man who puts his trust in another man !Let me assure you bros-Wait and see -No man is going to remove UK from Presidency! Its God who annointed him to rule Kenya and only Him can dethrone him!Stand still and see the salvation of God.......

  41. I did not vote for UK, if a rerun is called UK will even get more votes than the 6.18m. He has stated clearly he will form an all inclusive government, he is energetic(digital). He has also a good command of spoken English and Swahili. I was amazed by his speech without reading from a written pitch unlike the kibaki and vitendawili. He is a leader who is very inspiring.He has the confidence of not been another western foreign puppet like others . count me in this time for my vote. God bless UK

  42. exercising my democratic right should not be threatened or intimidated by any external force!!!! so i feel sorry for the likes of prof makau mutua .i voted uhuru not beause he is a kikuyu but of what he can do!! its under his tenure as finance minister that kenya started budgeting with trillion, he started the economic stimulus programme this shows he can develop the country economically when given a chance!!!! about reforms i think we did economic development and growth not reforms!!

  43. people deny to hear the truth especially what mutahi ngunyi said!! in kenya we vote as tribes or bloc since independence and with the just concluded elections we proved mutahi right!!! you only needed to know the remaining constituencies in order to predict who will carry the day!!

  44. The beauty about the truth is that it will always be there - unwavering. Sooner or later, the truth shall come to light and it will set us as a country free.

  45. THIS IS WHAT WE CALL TRASHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  46. Hey people the polls are over,let work together for the better of our country kenya.We have kids that needs US more let not argue about polls that ended succefully.if ur candidate did not wiN just be sure there is always next time.WORK HARD FOR THE NEXT GENERATION AND MAKE THIS KENYA BETTER THAN THE WAY WE FOUND IT.GOD BLESS KENYA


  47. All regions in Kenya except Western are tribal.

  48. even if Raila had a Kikuyu running mate, he would still LOSE!

  49. Its done, Kenyan's voted n i said, "May the best Man/Woman win." CORD accept your loss, you fought a good fight, n u will leave to fight in 2017. Kalonzo can run if Raila Can't, so .... Acceptance is the Key word. "Tuthamini Amani" n lets forge ahead. Mutahi Ngunyi - A Brilliant Analyst!!! UK Congratulations n may God bless you as you work on your promises, Statehouse you head to Mr. President!

  50. Im a kikuyu and i have Luo friends and i have no probel with them unless they have themselves and i dont know. the issue of voting is not about hate for the Luo. its all about the love for a particular candidate. in any case this is democracy but let us not sell our nation to the Western.

  51. All the above are all good for yourselves. Pliz them if they are you breakfast or lunch

  52. Kenyans who do not belong to any tribe/ethnic identity should petition God to destroy all tribes in Kenya so that a new creation which does not belong to any tribe can then populate kenya.

    Is it that God made a mistake by creating pple with distinct ethnic tags? just not sure

    is it not such a shame that kenyans with sound minds can continue bashing at each other coz of tribes yet none of the tribes is a man made affair like a toyota or Isuzu?

  53. All in all Uhuru won and the least you can do is to RESPECT your president just as we respected your fake opinion polls.. Uhuru is the peoples choice and now yoUr president. so deal with it! 5 years will be enough to get your mouths shut(haha).. how i pity.

  54. I am amazed, Ngunyi did not give this country to a certain people or tribe he stated that, BASED ON PAST VOTING TRENDS" MAJORLY TRIBAL" cord did not stand a chance if the same were to be practiced because, KKs has greater population, that was statisctics not tribalism that he based his analysis on. I agree its not about luos its that one man, he eats everyone around him alive and leaves them for the dead its time to deal him the same card, and he dare not try 2017, this time it will be an embarrasing failure.

  55. Lets move on we hav a country to run, this blame game will not develop our country, Raila, Uhuru n Ruto have thea properties to protect n will always need each other that mins thy'll neva need u
    So kenyans endeni kazi

  56. Kikuyus dont for no reason hate Raila,

    He started it- 41 vs 1
    He unleashed Ruto on us in 2007, only for ICC to join us in the hip with Kalenjin(s) via Ruto.

    While most Kikuyu are poor those that venture outside their native zones prosper due to hard work, fear or retuning to poverty in their naive zones, (just like Indians in Kenya from India-they never dare go back), research has many times shown that immigrants often succeed than locals- they don't have any safety net, success is the only option..

    You can hate a group of people for their entrepreneurial (pun also intended) spirit

  57. Raila would have emerged as a true statesman if he would have conceded.I voted for him but have now known he is power possesed,I would not vote for him in a rerun.

  58. After losing in court,nobody will ever trust rao.

  59. After losing in court,nobody will ever trust rao.

  60. all am hearing is about kikuyus, kalenjins,luos and kambas, where do the rest fall??

  61. i really don knw wen will u kenyans mature up en open ur eyez,being a kiuk,kalenjin,luo,maasai or any tribe tat u come from doesnt make any sense 2 create distinctions among urselfs furthermore i never wrote an application letter 2 God tat i b born a kiuk neither did u,xo kenyans dont b carried away by thiz seasonal political wave.luos votin 4 raila,kamba 4 kalonzo,kiuks 4 uhuru en kalenjin 4 ruto u shuld knw itz u citizens to blame on the issue f being tribal not these leaders.USE YOUR WITS RIGHTLY

  62. This all thrash folks. Kikuyu or Luo you are a Kenyan. The only problem id that the Luos are so trusting and the Kikuyus are so mean and treacherous. It was confirmed that a Kikuyu vote is never thrown outside. how can you explain Kioni not voting for Mudavadi. With their (Kikuyu) treachery you will see how they are going to share power with Ruto. Uhuruto will not survive beyond ICC. I hope I am not being pessimistic. A kikuyu only has use for you when he has something to gain after achieving his/her objective you are as useless as toilet paper that you flush down the loo. You may celebrate now but other Kenyans are watching and ready for you in 2017/8. It may be RAO, Kalonzo or another weapon of Mass destruction may be unleashed on you. Watch the this space as events unravel. That is if the Supreme Court does not ask a return of the certificate issued to Uhuruto.

  63. TURN OFF COMMENTS PLEASE.

  64. UK will bring economic sanctions to ths country period,is it worth the entire country going through that jst coz of one person.b realistic coz when this hits us it wont be choosing your ethnic background we will all b buying bread ksh.500 irrespective of where u come from.personally am ok with any other leader but not UK.Every choice has a consequence en 4 those who voted Uhuru sit back en c what will happen to this country for the next 5years if guyz really think sanctions r a joke.

  65. WHEN WILL AFRICANS GROW IN THE MIND TO SEE THE BIG PICTURE WHERE WE ARE ALL TRIBES IN THE WORLD.ELECTIONS THE WEST WAY IS A RECIPE OF CHAOS AND DIVISION, WHY NOT AFRICANS LEARN HOW TO ELECT THEIR LEADERS THE CHINESE WAY AND SAVE MONEY FOR OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES.BUT BLEND THE AFRICAN VALUES,ALL PEOPLE VALUES AND MAKE THE BEST OF ALL OF US.ITS NOT THE UHURU OR RAILA BUT WHAT WE CAN MAKE UP FOR KENYANS.CHANGE ELECTIONS LAWS THROUGH REFERENDUM THE CHINESE WAY.OTHERWISE UHURU DO THE BEST TO BOND KENYANS AND AFRICANS.LET THE AFRICAN CRIMINAL COURT BE ESTABLISHED FOR LASTING PEACE.

  66. Mutahi Ngunyi should be the last idiot to post that Uhuruto won fairly despite all these irregularities with IEBC and forcing to gather a 50 plus one the last minute.Shame on you for promoting hatred, tribalism knowing very well that Kibaki is a tribalistic and it was all stage managed in favour of Uhuru.What if the Supreme court nullifies the elections? and I hope they will...What will you be telling Kenyans?You are just Big Chump of Tribalism!!!!

  67. well said

  68. Mutahi Ngunyi stated that Kamba/Luo voting pact would only threaten Uhuru/Ruto numbers if each of the Kambas voted twice. It seems Kambas did just that otherwise votes from some Ukamban constituencies seem unreal especially Mathooko constituency.

  69. Rao is power hungry,you cannot rule a people by force.Please mzee go rest in Bondo.Let kenya move on.

  70. kenyans wake up. This tribal thing got to end.

  71. JJJJ =JALUO JINGA JEURI JEUSI SHENZI TYPE MONKEYS GO ROT IN SOUTH SUDAN WHERE U BELONG!!!

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